A key assumption underpinning President Donald Trump’s push for a Ukraine peace deal is his belief that Russian President Vladimir Putin is experiencing war fatigue. Trump’s remark that “Putin is tired of it” is not just a casual comment; it’s a strategic assessment that forms the basis of his administration’s urgent diplomatic gambit.
This theory of Russian weariness is driving the White House’s confidence. If Putin is indeed tired of the economic and military drain of the conflict, he may be more inclined to make a deal now than later. This would explain why the Trump administration is pushing for a summit within an ambitious two-week timeframe, hoping to capitalize on a moment of perceived weakness or frustration.
However, this assessment is a significant gamble. Many analysts believe Putin is prepared for a long war, and that any signals of fatigue could be a strategic deception. The Kremlin’s public insistence on slow, methodical preparation for any summit runs counter to the idea of a leader eager for a quick exit.
The coming weeks will serve as a crucial test of Trump’s hypothesis. If Putin agrees to a swift meeting and engages constructively, it would validate the “war fatigue” theory. If he stalls or makes unreasonable demands, it would suggest that the Russian leader is far from tired and that the path to peace remains long and arduous.
Is Putin ‘Tired’? Trump Bets on Russian War Fatigue to Secure Peace Deal
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